Kenya's President Uhuru Kenyatta on Sunday evening admitted that he will concede if he loses fairly.
During a TV live chat, the Head of State also asked his opponents to do the same so as to maintain peace in the country.
“I’m the man who abides by the wish of the people and I pray that my opponents do the same. I ask Kenyans to look at one another as brother and sister,” he said.
He said the Jubilee government wants to produce the calmest election that has ever been seen in the country which is why security forces as being equipped to ensure they handle any situation that might arise.
“We are putting in place measures and our security team is working to ensure the safest and most peaceful elections held in this country,” he said.
The conversation with Kenyans, which was aired on K24 TV and also on Facebook Live Chat, comes barely a week after the Head of State snubbed the last presidential debate which was organised by various media houses.
The president was also asked how Jubilee government has tackled the issue of food security, what they are doing about youth unemployment, the integration of the East African Community, marginalised regions and the terrorism threat among other things.
On regions that have for long stayed marginalised, Mr Kenyatta noted that his government, in the past four years, has done more than any other previous administration by digging boreholes, constructing roads and putting such areas and Northern Kenya on the national electricity grid.
“We don’t want a situation where anyone coming from places like the northern border town of Moyale says they are going to ‘Kenya” just because they feel excluded,” he said.
He however, said that in as much as the Jubilee government has not delivered the stadia they promised in their 2013 campaign, some have been launched and are under construction.
But he also blamed the county governments of Kisumu and Mombasa for having issues, which he said, have delayed progress in constructing the sports facilities.
Family
Mr Kenyatta noted that his government wants to make the EAC work and has, for instance, reduced the number of days used to transport cargo from the Port of Mombasa to Uganda.
"We want to ensure our people in the EAC do business or live anywhere in the region and my government is committed to this," he said.
Asked why his children have not been seen campaigning for him the President said: “I don’t want them involved in the campaigns unless they do so desire. All I aspire is to create a Kenya where not just them, but any other child out there can do whatever they want.”
Source: The East African
Monday, July 31, 2017
Explianer: What every voter should know about #RwandaElections
It's five days before Rwandans head to their
polling stations to choose who will lead them for the next seven years. While
the candidates traverse all corners of the country canvassing for votes, there
are things that every voter needs to know before Election Day. The New Times'
Nasra Bishumba sat down with the Executive Secretary of the National Electoral
Commission (NEC), Charles Munyaneza, and asked him questions concerning
Election Day. Below are the excerpts.
Where is my
local polling station?
More than 96 per cent of the polling stations have
not changed over the years. Your polling station is perhaps the same one it has
always been.
If the voter has moved and they are yet to know
where their new station is, they can use this month's Umuganda (tomorrow) to
find out because the activities that day will take place at polling stations.
Do I need a
voter's card to vote?
Yes and no. If you have a voter's card, then
congratulations; but not all is lost if you have none. You can use your
National Identity Card (Indangamuntu) to cast your vote on condition that you
are a registered voter.
Special cases like journalists and military
personnel can use their professional cards to vote from anywhere due to the
nature of their work, but again, only if they have national IDs and are
registered voters.
What happens
when I get to the polling station?
All you need is to present your national ID,
voter's card, and then a verification is done to determine whether you are on
the list before you proceed to vote.
What if I
make a mistake on my ballot, do I get another chance?
No. You have only one chance and that's why we
encourage people to take their time because we cannot get enough ballot papers
to replace those that are spoilt.
When is a
ballot considered spoilt?
There are different things that can make your vote
null and void. For instance, if you decide to cast a blank ballot paper into
the box, when you write other things on the paper other than the thumbprint,
and if you vote for more than one candidate. All this can invalidate your vote.
What time
are polling stations opening and when do they close?
Polling stations will be open at 7am and will close
at 3pm.
If I cannot get to a polling station, can someone
else vote for me?
Not at all. You must do this civic duty on your
own.
I have
disabilities, can I vote?
Yes, of course. As long as you are registered and
we have put in place mechanisms that will support people with different
disabilities. There is braille for the visually impaired and the stations are
conducive for every voter.
Who is
ineligible to vote?
You are not eligible to vote if you are below 18
years.
If you are not registered.
If you are not Rwandan.
If you are a refugee.
If you are in prison.
If you have been charged and convicted by the court
of law and your voting rights have been revoked.
If you were convicted of Genocide against Tutsi
crimes and you are yet to complete your punishment.
Can I
discuss my vote in the polling station?
Not at all. That is why it is called a secret
ballot.
I am a
Muslim and I wear hijab, is there a particular dress code?
No. You can put on anything you want but we
encourage you to be decent.
Are there
any security checks?
Security checks can be done depending on the need.
Can I take a
photograph of myself voting?
You are allowed to enter the booth with your phone
but you are not allowed to take photos when in there. You are also not allowed
to enter when someone else is there. You are not allowed to enter with a gun.
Who is
allowed to stay at polling stations?
Registered observers and representatives of the
candidates are allowed to be there but other people are encouraged to vote and
perhaps come back later when the votes are being counted. In addition,
How are the
votes counted?
Counting is done immediately after 3pm and the
exercise is carried out in public.
When can I
find out the results?
On Election Day, we are going to announce at least
80 per cent of the votes cast. This means that people will go to bed knowing
who has won but the final results will be announced a few days later.
There are four election volunteers in every village
and they can explain to you everything. If you are near any NEC office, you can
walk in and enquire because we stationed in every district and province.
Source: The New Times
AEP
Get the latest news and updates on elections in Africa by Following us on twitter @africanelection and like the African Elections Project Facebook page
Get the latest news and updates on elections in Africa by Following us on twitter @africanelection and like the African Elections Project Facebook page
Monday, July 24, 2017
#KenyaElections: Colours, multitudes rock campaign trails
It’s barely two weeks to Kenya’s general election and the country is tensed from vigorous campaign trails from both the incumbents and the oppositions.
August 8 is the D-day to over 2 million registered voters to elect members of the county assemblies, members of parliament, senators, governors and the president.
Cash has been poured into technology, strategy, internal polling, office space, salaries, expat and foreign experts. Logistics includes purchase and hire of helicopters and vehicles, as well a transport and accommodation for campaign teams.
The most outstanding feature from these campaigns is the use of social media to depict throngs of people vividly dressed in merchandise like T-shirts.
The incumbent wing, Jubilee party led by President Uhuru Kenyatta has invested heavily on branded T-shirts, caps and flags. Thousands of people dressed in red T-shirts gives their campaign a new look.
The opposition, NASA coalition embrace white colour to signify peace and brighter future if elected during their campaigns.
Here are some of the trending images both from Jubilee and NASA campaign trails.
Source: AfricaNews
Monday, July 17, 2017
#RwandaElections: NEC extends voters registration period by one day
Rwanda National Electoral Commission (NEC) has extended the voter register updating process by 24 hours after several requests from voters.
Charles Munyaneza, NEC executive secretary said; “Many registered voters have been requesting for more time. This is why we have added another extra day.”
The process of updating voter’s register has been done in person, online or by phone USSD codes, and today July 17, 2017 was the deadline.
At least 6, 888, 592 Rwandans are set to participate in the August 4th polls. The final list of voters is expected to be announced on July 19, according to the NEC calendar.
Three presidential candidates are campaigning across the country- Paul Kagame, flag-bearer of Rwanda Patriotic Front (RPF) Inkotanyi, Dr. Frank Habineza of the Democratic Green Party of Rwanda(DGPR) and Phillipe Mpayimana, an independent candidate.
Voters with vision impairments will for the first time take part in the presidential election in the history of Rwandan elections.
“Those who can use braille, will use special braille lists that will be distributed to election centers. Those who cannot braille will use a special voting mechanism- where they will place their fingers in holes lined according to the list of candidates on the voters list,” said Prof. Kalisa Mbanda, the NEC chairman.
Rwandans in diaspora will cast their votes on August 3, while Rwandans in the country will vote on August 4, 2017. This date is expected to be a big celebration for many as #Rwandadecides
To Register online Click Here
Thursday, July 13, 2017
Google unveils free tools to safeguard #KenyaElections
Google and technology incubator platform Jigsaw have
unveiled a suite of free tools that will help guard against digital attacks
during the election period in Kenya.
Dubbed “Protect Your Election”, the tools are designed to
help safeguard news organisations, human rights groups, and election monitoring
sites from online threats. Work by such organisations is critical before and during
elections.
Africa Uncensored -- owned by investigative journalist
John-Allan Namu -- and Africa Centre for Open Governance (AfriCOG) are some of
the sites that were famously defaced.
The threats include DDoS (denial-of-service) attacks,
phishing and attempts to break into people’s private accounts.
Google is an American tech giant whose innovative search
technologies connect millions of people around the world with information every
day.
Global security
Jigsaw is an incubator within Alphabet that builds
technology to tackle some of the toughest global security challenges.
The technology helps in, among other things, thwarting
online censorship, mitigating threats from digital attacks, countering violent
extremism and protecting people from online harassment.
One of those tools unveiled on Tuesday is Project Shield,
which provides free DDoS protection to news sites, human rights groups, and
election monitoring sites.
“It is important to provide free protection to these
organisations in particular, as they are the groups that provide voters with
information they need to make informed decisions. The site is in both English
and Swahili,” said an organiser.
The new suite also offers digital defences for individuals,
including Password Alert — a Chrome extension that helps protect against
phishing attacks by alerting you if a website is trying to steal your Google
password.
Verification
Another tool offered by Protect Your Election is 2-Step
Verification, which provides an extra layer of defense to keep your account
secure.
The suit also includes uProxy, a virtual private network
(VPN) that will be available for organisations as opposed to individuals. This would come in handy should the State decide to censor
social media.
About 125,000 DDoS attacks happen every week and tens of
millions of phishing attempts are recorded every few months.
DDoS attacks have often targeted investigative journalists
and election monitoring groups in various countries.
During the last few years, there has been a rise in digital
attacks targeting government, political party websites, press and journalists
around the world.
Commenting on the suite, Google Kenya Country Manager
Charles Murito said: “Everyone has a right to a full and credible story. The
free Google tools are designed to safeguard publishers, news organisations,
human rights groups and election monitoring sites from digital attacks during
the election period.”
Source: Business Daily
Tuesday, July 11, 2017
#RwandaElection outcome is already decided
“More of a coronation than real contest.” That’s how the Kenyan daily The Standard characterised Rwanda’s presidential
poll slated for 4 August. It sums up the reality well. In countries
with competitive politics, elections are an important moment giving rise
to debate and excitement. Not so in Rwanda.
Rwandans have become accustomed to polls where everything is settled in advance. This was the case before the genocide, when the country was officially a one-party state. And it has been the case since 1994, after which Rwanda became a de facto one-party state under the Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF).
The current template for elections was set in 2003, when a constitutional referendum and the first post-genocide elections were held. In the run-up to these polls, the last genuine opposition party was banned, while the campaign was marred by arrests, disappearances and intimidation. An EU observer mission noted that, ironically, “political pluralism is more limited than during the transition period”.
The polls themselves were replete with allegations of fraud, manipulation of electoral lists, ballot-box stuffing, and flawed counting. Paul Kagame was declared the winner with 95% of the vote.
Similar dynamics were seen in the 2008 and 2013 parliamentary elections as well as the 2010 presidential poll. Opposition leaders were arrested and condemned to long prison sentences, while other critical voices were killed or went into exile.
In 2010, there were reports of local leaders going from door to door to collect voters’ cards and submitting their ballots for them. The Commonwealth observer mission at the time noted that “it was not possible to ascertain quite where, how and when the tabulation was completed”.
Nevertheless, many remained sceptical that Kagame would step down, and in May 2013, his position became clearer when Justice Minister Tharcisse Karugarama was sacked shortly after insisting in an interview that Kagame would have to leave power in 2017 in accordance with the law.
By this time, a campaign had already started aimed at “convincing” the president to stay in office. In 2015, this culminated in 3.7 million Rwandans signing a petition – some under significant pressure – demanding that parliament enact constitutional changes that would allow Kagame to remain in power. It was claimed that this was a spontaneous action by the people, but it is unlikely such an operation could have been organised without the president’s knowledge and direction.
In subsequent “consultations” on the matter held throughout the country, MPs and senators claimed to have only found ten people – out of a population of 11 million – who opposed the initiative. Soon after, both houses unanimously approved a constitutional amendment to be put to a referendum.
The proposed revision called for maintaining the two-term limit and reducing term lengths from seven to five years. It also included a crucial provision allowing the incumbent to first run for an additional seven-year term, after which he would be eligible to bid for two more five-year terms. The changes effectively allow Kagame to stay in power until 2034, by which time he would have ruled Rwanda for 40 years.
While the issue of term limits has led to protests in many African countries, in Rwanda there was no debate or demonstrations around the December 2015 referendum. This was not surprising given that since the RPF took power, no demonstrations have taken place that were not organised by the regime itself. The amendment passed with 98.3% of the popular vote.
On 31 December 2015, President Kagame announced that he would run again, saying: “You requested me to lead this country again after 2017. Given the importance and consideration you attach to this, I can only accept”.
In May 2017, 35-year-old Diana Rwigara announced her candidacy, saying “people are tired, people are angry”. She had previously shown courage in criticising the government and human rights abuses. In the days following her announcement, doctored nude photographs of her circulated on social media.
Another aspirant, the Catholic prelate turned politician Thomas Nahimana, was denied access to Rwanda. Meanwhile, Gilbert Mwenedata, claimed that he was refused rooms by hotels in Kigali to hold a press conference to announce his plans.
The challenges facing independent candidates are dauntingly high to begin with. To be eligible, they must collect 600 signatures of support, including at least 12 from each of 30 districts. This may not seem much, but in an environment that does not tolerate criticism of the regime, it takes a lot of courage to reveal oneself to be an opposition supporter. Rwigara claimed that local leaders threatened her supporters as they tried to gather signatures.
Nevertheless, at least two hopefuls – Rwigara and Mwenedata – claimed to have met this requirement. But the National Electoral Commission (NEC) rejected their candidacies, claiming many of the signatures gathered were invalid. The NEC did not allow the candidates to see their lists to work out which names were disqualified, and several diplomats in Kigali expressed concern over the process.
In the end, only one independent hopeful – the little-known former journalist Philippe Mpayimana – made it onto the NEC’s final list.
The barriers for political parties are less onerous, and the Democratic Green Party’s (DGP) Frank Habineza was affirmed as the third and final presidential candidate. All other parties announced that they would not field nominees, but instead back Kagame.
While the RPF benefits from vast financial resources through its business ventures, other hopefuls were warned by the NEC against raising funds before being declared eligible. The electoral commission also announced in May that any social media messages by candidates or parties had to be submitted for vetting 48 hours prior to publication. Habineza called the decision “oppressive” and, after strong diplomatic protest, the measure was rescinded in early-June.
Opposition parties – in particular the non-registered FDU-Inkingi – have also seen their cadres arrested or disappeared. Amnesty International recently denounced the climate of fear surrounding the elections, saying: “Since the ruling Rwandan Patriotic Front took power 23 years ago, Rwandans have faced huge, and often deadly, obstacles to participating in public life and voicing criticism of government policy. The climate in which the upcoming elections take place is the culmination of years of repression.”
In these tense and oppressive circumstances, and given the widespread allegations of manipulation in Rwanda’s previous elections, it is not surprising that the head of the EU delegation in Kigali has said that “you would not lose any money if you bet on Mr Paul Kagame”.
Indeed, a 90% or higher victory for Kagame on 4 August seems inevitable in what will be coronation rather than election. All this is underscored by the latest Bertelsmann Stiftung’s Transformation Index (BTI) report in which Rwanda scored a mere two out of ten for “free and fair elections” and “effective power to govern”, and three for “association/assembly rights” and “freedom of expression”.
Rwandans have become accustomed to polls where everything is settled in advance. This was the case before the genocide, when the country was officially a one-party state. And it has been the case since 1994, after which Rwanda became a de facto one-party state under the Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF).
The current template for elections was set in 2003, when a constitutional referendum and the first post-genocide elections were held. In the run-up to these polls, the last genuine opposition party was banned, while the campaign was marred by arrests, disappearances and intimidation. An EU observer mission noted that, ironically, “political pluralism is more limited than during the transition period”.
The polls themselves were replete with allegations of fraud, manipulation of electoral lists, ballot-box stuffing, and flawed counting. Paul Kagame was declared the winner with 95% of the vote.
Similar dynamics were seen in the 2008 and 2013 parliamentary elections as well as the 2010 presidential poll. Opposition leaders were arrested and condemned to long prison sentences, while other critical voices were killed or went into exile.
In 2010, there were reports of local leaders going from door to door to collect voters’ cards and submitting their ballots for them. The Commonwealth observer mission at the time noted that “it was not possible to ascertain quite where, how and when the tabulation was completed”.
Kagame until 2034?
The presidential elections in 2010 were expected to be Kagame’s last. He was beginning his second constitutionally-mandated seven-year term and denied that he would seek re-election. He even claimed it would be a failure on his part to find a replacement and warned that “those who seek a third term will seek a fourth and a fifth”.Nevertheless, many remained sceptical that Kagame would step down, and in May 2013, his position became clearer when Justice Minister Tharcisse Karugarama was sacked shortly after insisting in an interview that Kagame would have to leave power in 2017 in accordance with the law.
By this time, a campaign had already started aimed at “convincing” the president to stay in office. In 2015, this culminated in 3.7 million Rwandans signing a petition – some under significant pressure – demanding that parliament enact constitutional changes that would allow Kagame to remain in power. It was claimed that this was a spontaneous action by the people, but it is unlikely such an operation could have been organised without the president’s knowledge and direction.
In subsequent “consultations” on the matter held throughout the country, MPs and senators claimed to have only found ten people – out of a population of 11 million – who opposed the initiative. Soon after, both houses unanimously approved a constitutional amendment to be put to a referendum.
The proposed revision called for maintaining the two-term limit and reducing term lengths from seven to five years. It also included a crucial provision allowing the incumbent to first run for an additional seven-year term, after which he would be eligible to bid for two more five-year terms. The changes effectively allow Kagame to stay in power until 2034, by which time he would have ruled Rwanda for 40 years.
While the issue of term limits has led to protests in many African countries, in Rwanda there was no debate or demonstrations around the December 2015 referendum. This was not surprising given that since the RPF took power, no demonstrations have taken place that were not organised by the regime itself. The amendment passed with 98.3% of the popular vote.
On 31 December 2015, President Kagame announced that he would run again, saying: “You requested me to lead this country again after 2017. Given the importance and consideration you attach to this, I can only accept”.
The candidates
Others also declared their intention to stand in 2017, including a handful of independents, but they have faced significant obstructions.In May 2017, 35-year-old Diana Rwigara announced her candidacy, saying “people are tired, people are angry”. She had previously shown courage in criticising the government and human rights abuses. In the days following her announcement, doctored nude photographs of her circulated on social media.
Another aspirant, the Catholic prelate turned politician Thomas Nahimana, was denied access to Rwanda. Meanwhile, Gilbert Mwenedata, claimed that he was refused rooms by hotels in Kigali to hold a press conference to announce his plans.
The challenges facing independent candidates are dauntingly high to begin with. To be eligible, they must collect 600 signatures of support, including at least 12 from each of 30 districts. This may not seem much, but in an environment that does not tolerate criticism of the regime, it takes a lot of courage to reveal oneself to be an opposition supporter. Rwigara claimed that local leaders threatened her supporters as they tried to gather signatures.
Nevertheless, at least two hopefuls – Rwigara and Mwenedata – claimed to have met this requirement. But the National Electoral Commission (NEC) rejected their candidacies, claiming many of the signatures gathered were invalid. The NEC did not allow the candidates to see their lists to work out which names were disqualified, and several diplomats in Kigali expressed concern over the process.
In the end, only one independent hopeful – the little-known former journalist Philippe Mpayimana – made it onto the NEC’s final list.
The barriers for political parties are less onerous, and the Democratic Green Party’s (DGP) Frank Habineza was affirmed as the third and final presidential candidate. All other parties announced that they would not field nominees, but instead back Kagame.
No level playing field
As in previous elections in Rwanda, 2017’s opposition candidates have not faced an easy time or a level playing field in the run up to the polls.While the RPF benefits from vast financial resources through its business ventures, other hopefuls were warned by the NEC against raising funds before being declared eligible. The electoral commission also announced in May that any social media messages by candidates or parties had to be submitted for vetting 48 hours prior to publication. Habineza called the decision “oppressive” and, after strong diplomatic protest, the measure was rescinded in early-June.
Opposition parties – in particular the non-registered FDU-Inkingi – have also seen their cadres arrested or disappeared. Amnesty International recently denounced the climate of fear surrounding the elections, saying: “Since the ruling Rwandan Patriotic Front took power 23 years ago, Rwandans have faced huge, and often deadly, obstacles to participating in public life and voicing criticism of government policy. The climate in which the upcoming elections take place is the culmination of years of repression.”
In these tense and oppressive circumstances, and given the widespread allegations of manipulation in Rwanda’s previous elections, it is not surprising that the head of the EU delegation in Kigali has said that “you would not lose any money if you bet on Mr Paul Kagame”.
Indeed, a 90% or higher victory for Kagame on 4 August seems inevitable in what will be coronation rather than election. All this is underscored by the latest Bertelsmann Stiftung’s Transformation Index (BTI) report in which Rwanda scored a mere two out of ten for “free and fair elections” and “effective power to govern”, and three for “association/assembly rights” and “freedom of expression”.
#KenyaElections 2017 will be like none before. Here’s why.
Kenya’s
2017 elections are set to be the country’s most interesting yet. The
political landscape has shifted, and whatever else these elections turn
out to be – violent, peaceful, confusing − they are going to a different
kettle of fish to previous polls.
The most obvious reason for this is devolution. After the 2010 constitution was passed, Kenya restructured its political and legislative units, breaking 8 massive provinces into 47 counties made up of various wards. The national legislature was broken into two branches, establishing the roles of senator and governor. And the position of women’s representatives was created in each county to help achieve the new constitution’s gender quotas.
These changes also affected how elections work. In 2007, Kenyans voted at three levels: for a councillor, a member of parliament (MP), and a president. On 8 August 2017, the electorate will vote at six: a member of the county assembly (MCA), a women’s representative, an MP, a senator, a governor, and a president.
This was also the case in 2013, but since then, it has become much clearer how the different levels of government operate in relation to one another. This means that some positions have become far more attractive and therefore competitive. And this increased contestation at the local level has undermined some of the typical tropes of Kenyan politics such as tribalism and regionalism. Things have changed.
Kenya’s political pyramid
One can think of Kenya’s system of political operatives as operating in a pyramid formation. At the bottom are local elders. One step up are county assembly members, followed by members of parliament, senators, and county governors. Above them are the ethnic kingpins. These are powerful individuals that come together to at the highest level to form national political alliances or coalitions that then contest the elections. In the case of 2017, we have President Uhuru Kenyatta and Deputy President William Ruto on one side as the incumbents, with Raila Odinga, Kalonzo Musyoka and others on the opposing side.
Typically, the role of local elders at the bottom rung has been to marshal voters to back the right kingpin at the top. Much of campaign spending goes towards cementing this local loyalty. Although politicians themselves sometimes hand out cash at rallies, the really important network has been low-level leaders giving out goodies in less intense environments. It’s the chief calling a village meeting and distributing bags of maize flour, or the women’s group leader dishing out t-shirts at the chama meeting.
In prior elections, knowing which way local leaders were leaning gave a good indication of how the overall vote in a specific region would go. For politicians, spending enough money on these low-level actors could usually guarantee a positive return at the ballot box.
In 2013, it was enough for a candidate who wanted to be elected to buy a nomination certificate from their party and then hand out money at a rally, safe in the knowledge that their “person on the ground” would distribute campaign goodies to people to secure their votes. But with a more discerning electorate who, through devolution, more closely see how local power works, or doesn’t, these tactics are no longer as effective.
This can also be seen in the way Kenyan voters have been rejecting the notion of “six-piece voting”. This was a strategy employed by national politicians in 2013 whereby they encouraged supporters to vote for the same party across all six levels of government. This was most beneficial to those candidates in the middle levels of the pyramid. Rather than establishing independent political identities, candidates for MCAs, MPs and senators could just provide money downwards to foster low-level loyalty for the party, while trading off the popularity of the national-level politicians above them.
When Odinga and Kenyatta have proposed six-piece voting in 2017, however, they have been heckled and booed at their own rallies. People don’t want to just vote blindly for the same party in all the boxes; they want more say in what happens at the various levels.
We saw these new dynamics play out in the party primaries this April. Despite significant attempts at mobilisation, voters rejected incumbent MCAs, MPs and even governors who they believe have failed to deliver. Several key allies of national politicians failed to win their party’s nomination.
Many of these figures are now running instead as independents, meaning that many ethnic groups have two or more powerful figures contesting key constituencies. This divides these ethnic kingdoms and presents a dilemma for political parties. On one hand, they need to appease loyalists by putting the force of the party behind each of their candidates; on the other, they need to court voters that support those popular independents that have left the party.
To date, leaders have responded to this conundrum by inviting some independent hopefuls to participate in party events, but this has led to public, and sometimes violent, clashes between supporters of the different candidates.
This is the first time in recent memory that we’re seeing national political figures appear uncertain before their own supporters during their own rallies. The sight of Kenyatta, a sitting president, being heckled – not once, but fairly consistently during the election period − is novel. That people at a Odinga rally would shout anything that wasn’t a synonym for ndio baba (“yes father”) is unprecedented.
Of course, more things have changed in Kenyan politics since 2013 than those examined here. But these changes, amongst others, have thrown a significant measure of unpredictability into the landscape. Political punditry in Kenya has always been fixated on the ethnic question, but this time around, it’s not going to be that simple. Ethnic loyalty is still important, but it is no longer absolute. Voters have changed, politicians are adapting, and everything is getting a lot more…interesting.
Source: Africa Argument
The most obvious reason for this is devolution. After the 2010 constitution was passed, Kenya restructured its political and legislative units, breaking 8 massive provinces into 47 counties made up of various wards. The national legislature was broken into two branches, establishing the roles of senator and governor. And the position of women’s representatives was created in each county to help achieve the new constitution’s gender quotas.
These changes also affected how elections work. In 2007, Kenyans voted at three levels: for a councillor, a member of parliament (MP), and a president. On 8 August 2017, the electorate will vote at six: a member of the county assembly (MCA), a women’s representative, an MP, a senator, a governor, and a president.
This was also the case in 2013, but since then, it has become much clearer how the different levels of government operate in relation to one another. This means that some positions have become far more attractive and therefore competitive. And this increased contestation at the local level has undermined some of the typical tropes of Kenyan politics such as tribalism and regionalism. Things have changed.
Kenya’s political pyramid
One can think of Kenya’s system of political operatives as operating in a pyramid formation. At the bottom are local elders. One step up are county assembly members, followed by members of parliament, senators, and county governors. Above them are the ethnic kingpins. These are powerful individuals that come together to at the highest level to form national political alliances or coalitions that then contest the elections. In the case of 2017, we have President Uhuru Kenyatta and Deputy President William Ruto on one side as the incumbents, with Raila Odinga, Kalonzo Musyoka and others on the opposing side.
Typically, the role of local elders at the bottom rung has been to marshal voters to back the right kingpin at the top. Much of campaign spending goes towards cementing this local loyalty. Although politicians themselves sometimes hand out cash at rallies, the really important network has been low-level leaders giving out goodies in less intense environments. It’s the chief calling a village meeting and distributing bags of maize flour, or the women’s group leader dishing out t-shirts at the chama meeting.
In prior elections, knowing which way local leaders were leaning gave a good indication of how the overall vote in a specific region would go. For politicians, spending enough money on these low-level actors could usually guarantee a positive return at the ballot box.
Dismantling the pyramid
Not anymore it seems. Devolution has made local politics much more intimately connected with voters’ day-to-day lives. Power has become demystified, and this has inspired more people to challenge local leadership when it has been deemed to fail. A record 14,525 candidates are running for office in 2017, and low-level chiefs and elders can no longer guarantee voters’ support for a particular party through the traditional means.In 2013, it was enough for a candidate who wanted to be elected to buy a nomination certificate from their party and then hand out money at a rally, safe in the knowledge that their “person on the ground” would distribute campaign goodies to people to secure their votes. But with a more discerning electorate who, through devolution, more closely see how local power works, or doesn’t, these tactics are no longer as effective.
This can also be seen in the way Kenyan voters have been rejecting the notion of “six-piece voting”. This was a strategy employed by national politicians in 2013 whereby they encouraged supporters to vote for the same party across all six levels of government. This was most beneficial to those candidates in the middle levels of the pyramid. Rather than establishing independent political identities, candidates for MCAs, MPs and senators could just provide money downwards to foster low-level loyalty for the party, while trading off the popularity of the national-level politicians above them.
When Odinga and Kenyatta have proposed six-piece voting in 2017, however, they have been heckled and booed at their own rallies. People don’t want to just vote blindly for the same party in all the boxes; they want more say in what happens at the various levels.
We saw these new dynamics play out in the party primaries this April. Despite significant attempts at mobilisation, voters rejected incumbent MCAs, MPs and even governors who they believe have failed to deliver. Several key allies of national politicians failed to win their party’s nomination.
Many of these figures are now running instead as independents, meaning that many ethnic groups have two or more powerful figures contesting key constituencies. This divides these ethnic kingdoms and presents a dilemma for political parties. On one hand, they need to appease loyalists by putting the force of the party behind each of their candidates; on the other, they need to court voters that support those popular independents that have left the party.
To date, leaders have responded to this conundrum by inviting some independent hopefuls to participate in party events, but this has led to public, and sometimes violent, clashes between supporters of the different candidates.
A new politics?
In 2017, voters are not just rejecting six-piece voting and exercising their judgements over local candidates beyond party loyalty. They are also being vocal and visible about it.This is the first time in recent memory that we’re seeing national political figures appear uncertain before their own supporters during their own rallies. The sight of Kenyatta, a sitting president, being heckled – not once, but fairly consistently during the election period − is novel. That people at a Odinga rally would shout anything that wasn’t a synonym for ndio baba (“yes father”) is unprecedented.
Of course, more things have changed in Kenyan politics since 2013 than those examined here. But these changes, amongst others, have thrown a significant measure of unpredictability into the landscape. Political punditry in Kenya has always been fixated on the ethnic question, but this time around, it’s not going to be that simple. Ethnic loyalty is still important, but it is no longer absolute. Voters have changed, politicians are adapting, and everything is getting a lot more…interesting.
Source: Africa Argument
Saturday, July 8, 2017
Three presidential candidates barred from standing against Rwanda's incumbent Kagame
Rwanda’s electoral commission has barred three candidates from running in next month’s presidential election, while allowing two opposition figures to stand against incumbent President Paul Kagame.
Amnesty International, meanwhile, warned that the election would be held under a "climate of fear" and repression.
Diane Shima Rwigara – hitherto the only female contender - Gilbert Mwenedata and Fred Sekikubo Barafinda have been barred from running.
Rwigara, who was standing as an independent, said last week that local leaders threatened her supporters while they were collecting signatures for her nomination.
Rwanda’s electoral commission has barred three candidates from running in next month’s presidential election, while allowing two opposition figures to stand against incumbent President Paul Kagame.
Amnesty International, meanwhile, warned that the election would be held under a "climate of fear" and repression.
Diane Shima Rwigara – hitherto the only female contender - Gilbert Mwenedata and Fred Sekikubo Barafinda have been barred from running.
Rwigara, who was standing as an independent, said last week that local leaders threatened her supporters while they were collecting signatures for her nomination.
Rwandans go to the polls on August 4. The choices on offer are Paul Kagame – President since 1994 - Frank Habineza of the opposition Democratic Green Party and independent candidate Philippe Mpayimana.
Habineza’s Greens are the only opposition party allowed to operate in Rwanda.
Observers say Kagame’s victory is overwhelmingly likely.
Rwigara was banned from the race after the head of the government electoral commission accused her of using the names of long deceased persons on her list of nomination signatures – as well as the names of others who belong to a rival political party.
Amnesty International said Rwanda has seen two decades of sometimes deadly attacks on political opponents, journalists and human rights activists. The NGO said major political reforms are necessary.
"Since the ruling Rwandan Patriotic Front took power 23 years ago, Rwandans have faced huge, and often deadly, obstacles to participating in public life and voicing criticism of government policy," Muthoni Wanyeki, an Amnesty official in East Africa, told AP.
Kagame’s government has been accused of responsibility for several killings and disappearances of opponents, journalists and human rights activists. He has led Rwanda since the end of the country's 1994 genocide.
The longtime President is often praised for bringing stability and higher living standards to the country. However, critics decry what they see as authoritarian tendencies in response to legitimate opposition.
Source: (FRANCE 24 with AP and AFP)
Amnesty International, meanwhile, warned that the election would be held under a "climate of fear" and repression.
Diane Shima Rwigara – hitherto the only female contender - Gilbert Mwenedata and Fred Sekikubo Barafinda have been barred from running.
Rwigara, who was standing as an independent, said last week that local leaders threatened her supporters while they were collecting signatures for her nomination.
Rwanda’s electoral commission has barred three candidates from running in next month’s presidential election, while allowing two opposition figures to stand against incumbent President Paul Kagame.
Amnesty International, meanwhile, warned that the election would be held under a "climate of fear" and repression.
Diane Shima Rwigara – hitherto the only female contender - Gilbert Mwenedata and Fred Sekikubo Barafinda have been barred from running.
Rwigara, who was standing as an independent, said last week that local leaders threatened her supporters while they were collecting signatures for her nomination.
Rwandans go to the polls on August 4. The choices on offer are Paul Kagame – President since 1994 - Frank Habineza of the opposition Democratic Green Party and independent candidate Philippe Mpayimana.
Habineza’s Greens are the only opposition party allowed to operate in Rwanda.
Observers say Kagame’s victory is overwhelmingly likely.
Rwigara was banned from the race after the head of the government electoral commission accused her of using the names of long deceased persons on her list of nomination signatures – as well as the names of others who belong to a rival political party.
Amnesty International said Rwanda has seen two decades of sometimes deadly attacks on political opponents, journalists and human rights activists. The NGO said major political reforms are necessary.
"Since the ruling Rwandan Patriotic Front took power 23 years ago, Rwandans have faced huge, and often deadly, obstacles to participating in public life and voicing criticism of government policy," Muthoni Wanyeki, an Amnesty official in East Africa, told AP.
Kagame’s government has been accused of responsibility for several killings and disappearances of opponents, journalists and human rights activists. He has led Rwanda since the end of the country's 1994 genocide.
The longtime President is often praised for bringing stability and higher living standards to the country. However, critics decry what they see as authoritarian tendencies in response to legitimate opposition.
Source: (FRANCE 24 with AP and AFP)
Friday, July 7, 2017
#KenyaElections: No changes to the voter register, candidates' list - IEBC
The electoral agency could be headed for a fresh
confrontation with the Opposition and candidates whose poll disputes are still
pending in various courts.
The Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC)
yesterday declared that it would not allow any further changes to the voter
register and list of candidates. The Raila Odinga-led Opposition has been
agitating for the removal of dead voters from the register.
However, IEBC yesterday cited tight timelines as the reason
for not allowing any further changes. Addressing a press conference in Nairobi,
IEBC Chairman Wafula Chebukati said dispute resolution processes were taking
too much time, explaining that further delay could derail the election
preparation process.
He said the electoral system in place requires IEBC to load details of candidates in all the 45,000 Kenya Integrated Elections Management Systems (KIEMS) kits, a process it argues is time -consuming.
He said the electoral system in place requires IEBC to load details of candidates in all the 45,000 Kenya Integrated Elections Management Systems (KIEMS) kits, a process it argues is time -consuming.
"Rather than risk the realisation of the entire polls
on August 8, the commission has resolved that no further amendments to the
candidates' list and the register of voters shall be introduced at this
stage," Mr Chebukati said. The declaration is expected to put IEBC at
loggerheads with the Judiciary.
On Wednesday, Chief Justice David Maraga warned the
commission against printing ballot papers until the ongoing cases are
concluded. But Chebukati complained that the courts were too slow and the
commission could not continue waiting for the determination of the cases.
"Under the law, political parties were required to
nominate their candidates and resolve intra-party disputes at least 90 days
prior to the election day. The commission was required to register the
candidates at least 60 days to the election day and a period of 10 days for
disputes in resolution.
"However, a month to the polls we are concerned that
disputes continue in courts and at the Political Parties Disputes
Tribunal," he said.
IEBC, however, indicated that the affected candidates could
still participate though their results would not be transmitted electronically.
Tuesday, July 4, 2017
Violence possible in Kenya presidential election, EU warns
t's "no secret" there are concerns about possible violence in Kenya's presidential election next month, the head of the European Union's election observer mission said Monday.
A decade ago, postelection violence in Kenya left more than 1,000 people dead and 600,000 displaced from their homes. It was arguably the worst upheaval the East African nation had experienced since independence from Britain in 1963.
Violence next month would create a situation "where everybody loses," Marietje Schaake said as the EU observer mission launched.
President Uhuru Kenyatta is seeking re-election against a challenge by opposition leader Raila Odinga, whom he beat in the 2013 vote. Kenyatta supporters have accused Odinga of planning violence if he does not win. Odinga has dismissed those claims, and his supporters call them a ploy by Kenyatta's supporters to win votes.
Kenyatta and his deputy, William Ruto, were on opposing sides of the 2007 post-election violence. They were charged at the International Criminal Court with crimes against humanity for allegedly orchestrating the violence. The charges were dropped due to lack of evidence, while the ICC prosecutor blamed unprecedented witness interference and bribery.
A government report into the 2007 events found that deep-seated historical injustices, especially linked to land, sparked the violence as well as unrest in the 1992 and 1997 elections.
Currently Kenya faces deadly clashes over land in Laikipia county, where more than 34 people have died since late last year as herders have occupied ranches while claiming rights to land their ancestors occupied before colonialism. The ranchers say politicians are inciting the semi-nomadic herders to take over the land, even though the military has been deployed to remove the herders.
Source: ABC
A decade ago, postelection violence in Kenya left more than 1,000 people dead and 600,000 displaced from their homes. It was arguably the worst upheaval the East African nation had experienced since independence from Britain in 1963.
Violence next month would create a situation "where everybody loses," Marietje Schaake said as the EU observer mission launched.
President Uhuru Kenyatta is seeking re-election against a challenge by opposition leader Raila Odinga, whom he beat in the 2013 vote. Kenyatta supporters have accused Odinga of planning violence if he does not win. Odinga has dismissed those claims, and his supporters call them a ploy by Kenyatta's supporters to win votes.
Kenyatta and his deputy, William Ruto, were on opposing sides of the 2007 post-election violence. They were charged at the International Criminal Court with crimes against humanity for allegedly orchestrating the violence. The charges were dropped due to lack of evidence, while the ICC prosecutor blamed unprecedented witness interference and bribery.
A government report into the 2007 events found that deep-seated historical injustices, especially linked to land, sparked the violence as well as unrest in the 1992 and 1997 elections.
Currently Kenya faces deadly clashes over land in Laikipia county, where more than 34 people have died since late last year as herders have occupied ranches while claiming rights to land their ancestors occupied before colonialism. The ranchers say politicians are inciting the semi-nomadic herders to take over the land, even though the military has been deployed to remove the herders.
Source: ABC
#KenyaElections: Political Parties Launch Election Campaign
Kenya’s ruling Jubilee coalition and main opposition
coalition have launched their campaign platforms for the August elections.
Launching their campaign pledges the ruling Jubilee party
and opposition coalition National Super Alliance have promised to transform the
country and Kenyan’s lives.
Both sides pledged to improve education, health,
infrastructure to foster economic growth, and to create jobs for millions of
Kenyan youth. They also promise to fight corruption.
The Jubilee party led by President Uhuru Kenyatta is
expected to win a second term in office. The party is campaigning on a platform
featuring development projects like a passenger and cargo railway to win voters
in the August polls.
Political commentator Sam Kamau says the promises made by
the government and the opposition are the same.
“They have focused on the same issues, even the target and
the things they hope to achieve are basically the same," said Kamau.
"The only thing you can say is a bit different is the spirit in the two
manifestos. Partly because on the Jubilee side they have been in the government
for the last four and half years and this manifesto should be an audit of some
of the things they have done and therefore what they can hope to achieve if
they continue in government. For the opposition it is an opportunity for them
to showcase what they can do if they are given the rein of power.”
Some Kenyans are questioning whether the pledges made by the
politicians can be achieved or implemented.
Professor Herman Manyora is a political analyst and lecturer
at the University of Nairobi. He says Kenyans are used to false promises.
“These are things they can not do, they just promise to that
extent. Therefore people are not putting much capital on this. People are not
expecting anything out of them, and more importantly, our people vote along the
tribal line,” he said.
The opposition is promising to form an inclusive government,
solve historical injustices and unite communities.
Manyora says an equal society can help bring an end to bad
governance. “All these things you say you want to do, you cannot do them
if you do not have a united country. If you do not have inclusivity, people
feel they belong to this country. You cannot complete road projects if you
cannot deal with corruption, because corruption will eat all the money.”
Kenya has witnessed electoral violence in several campaigns
over the years. In the 2007 disputed presidential election up to 1,500 people
may have died and more than a quarter of a million were uprooted from their
homes.
In the August 8 election, Kenyatta is running for a second
term in office against several challengers, including former Prime Minister
Raila Odinga.
Source: VOA
Using Digital and Social Media to Monitor and Reduce Violence in Kenya’s Elections
Social media and digital technology offer immense potential for citizens, policymakers and practitioners to raise awareness of, monitor, and respond to violence. With Kenya’s elections approaching, technology can help to raise awareness of insecurity, support early warning, combat incitement of violence and promote accountability.
However, digital technology also carries a number of risks. To maximise effectiveness and inclusivity, 1) greater support must be given to locally legitimate peace messaging and counter-speech; 2) government, media and civil society should collaborate to improve transparency and accountability in the regulation of online activity; and 3) social media monitoring of violence should be undertaken in conjunction with other reporting systems that seek to overcome inequalities in digital access and use.
Source: Institute of Development Studies
Download Publication here
However, digital technology also carries a number of risks. To maximise effectiveness and inclusivity, 1) greater support must be given to locally legitimate peace messaging and counter-speech; 2) government, media and civil society should collaborate to improve transparency and accountability in the regulation of online activity; and 3) social media monitoring of violence should be undertaken in conjunction with other reporting systems that seek to overcome inequalities in digital access and use.
Source: Institute of Development Studies
Download Publication here
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